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Predictable Surprises: The Disasters You Should Have Seen Coming, and How to Prevent Them (Leadership for the Common Good)
by Max H. Bazerman, Michael D. Watkins
from Harvard Business School Press
Customer Reviews:
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Avg. Customer Rating: 4.0 / 5.0 
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This is a great business book!
This book underscores how well-wishing and positive thinking are not effective ways of handling risks of business.
It's a great book to help you get past the human tendancies to think and hope and actually PLAN for the future.
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Enlightening 
The book jumps around but makes clear and valid points. A great eye opener! I would recommend this to students, leaders, informed citizens...just about anybody. I'm definitely getting more copies for friends and loved ones.
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On Target - Bullseye - Should have seen it coming
Anyone who has worked for some sort of organization, government agency, business, university or whatever, will empathise with "Predictable Surprises" by Bazerman and Watkins. This book focuses on the early and late warning signs, the cover-ups, the denials, and the eventual consequences of failing to take action to avert disaster. I've been in far too many situations where I observed that the peple "in charge" (really??) were blindsided by their own limited vision to the realities of what was happening... more info
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Predictably bad 
A major shortcoming of Bazerman and Watkins' book is the failure to provide adequate evidence to support their arguments about what they call "predictable surprises", which they define as "an event or series of events that take an individual or group by surprise, despite prior awareness of all of the information necessary to anticipate the events and their consequences." Bazerman and Watkins build their case substantially on just two examples: aviation security failures leading to the terrorist attacks of... more info
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